You don't need to know 50 ratios to analyze a stock. You need 10. Here they are, with their formula and the threshold separating a good company from a trap.
ROIC = NOPAT / Invested Capital
โ Good: > 15% over 5 years ยท โ ๏ธ Average: < 10% ยท โ Avoid: negative
Buffett's favorite. A company that maintains ROIC > 15% over 10 years necessarily has a durable competitive advantage (moat).
FCF Yield = FCF / Market Cap
โ Good: > 5% ยท โ ๏ธ Average: 2-5% ยท โ Avoid: < 2% or negative
More reliable than P/E (which can be manipulated). If a company generates 5% of cash per year of its market value, you're paid to wait.
Net Debt / EBITDA
โ Good: < 2x ยท โ ๏ธ Watch: 2-3x ยท โ Avoid: > 4x
Beyond 4x, any economic shock can kill the company. LBOs often load up to 6x โ very risky.
Gross Margin = (Revenue โ COGS) / Revenue
โ Excellent: > 60% (software, luxury, brands) ยท โ Good: 30-60% ยท โ ๏ธ Weak: < 20% (commodity)
A gross margin rising over 5 years = strengthened pricing power. Falling = competitive compression.
CAGR = (Rev_n / Rev_0)^(1/n) โ 1
โ Growth: > 10%/year ยท โ ๏ธ Stagnation: 0-5% ยท โ Decline: negative
Growth > 15% over 5 years with stable margins is extremely rare and valuable.
Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities
โ Good: > 1.5 ยท โ ๏ธ Tight: 1-1.5 ยท โ Danger: < 1
Below 1, the company lives on its cash reserves. Default risk if the market turns.
Op. Margin = EBIT / Revenue
โ Excellent: > 25% ยท โ Good: 15-25% ยท โ ๏ธ Weak: < 10%
Compare to sector average. A company outperforming its sector by 5+ points = solid competitive advantage.
P/E = Price / EPS
โ Discount: < 15 ยท โ ๏ธ Fair: 15-25 ยท โ Expensive: > 30 (unless growth > 20%)
Useless in isolation. Always compare to sector P/E AND to expected growth (PEG).
PEG = P/E / EPS Growth (in %)
โ Undervalued: < 1 ยท โ Fair: 1-1.5 ยท โ Overvalued: > 2
Peter Lynch's favorite method. A stock at P/E 30 but growing 30%/year has PEG = 1 โ fairly priced.
% held by executives / founders
โ Excellent: > 10% ยท โ Good: 3-10% ยท โ ๏ธ Weak: < 1%
The more executives have their money in the company, the more aligned their decisions with shareholders. A founder still holding 15% after 10 years is a strong signal.
If 4 out of 5 are OK โ deeper analysis. If 3 or less โ move on.
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